Today's starting pitching matchup features Tampa Bay Rays's Shane McClanahan (5-2, 2.82 ERA) against Baltimore Orioles's Kyle Bradish (2-6, 4.13 ERA).

Tampa Bay Rays's Shane McClanahan posts an solid 2.82 ERA this season, while Kyle Bradish has been league-average at 4.13. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Shane McClanahan — FIP 2.72, K% 25.8%, 44.7 IP / Kyle Bradish — FIP 4.04, K% 25.3%, 52.3 IP

2026 season record: Tampa Bay Rays 34-16 (.680), Baltimore Orioles 23-30 (.434).

Tampa Bay Rays holds the edge in the season standings, though Baltimore Orioles can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Run differential: Tampa Bay Rays +40, Baltimore Orioles -57. Both clubs are evenly matched in run production.

Recent form: Tampa Bay Rays on a 1-game losing streak, Baltimore Orioles on a 1-game losing streak.

Based on starting pitching, Tampa Bay Rays holds the edge.

Tampa Bay Rays bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Bryan Baker (Closer) 2.53 ERA, 25K in 21.1IP, Casey Legumina 3.66 ERA, 13K in 19.2IP, Drew Rasmussen 2.78 ERA, 51K in 55.0IP.

Baltimore Orioles bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Kittredge 9.35 ERA, 8K in 8.2IP, Anthony Nunez (Setup) 4.94 ERA, 28K in 23.2IP, Brandon Young 3.47 ERA, 26K in 36.1IP.

Projected win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 53% vs Baltimore Orioles 47%

Factors: Tampa Bay Rays's starter owns the lower ERA, Baltimore Orioles's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Shane McClanahan averages 5.0 IP per start vs. Kyle Bradish at 5.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.