Today's starting pitching matchup features Tampa Bay Rays's Shane McClanahan (6-4, 3.23 ERA) against Los Angeles Dodgers's Shohei Ohtani (6-2, 1.06 ERA).

Los Angeles Dodgers's Shohei Ohtani posts an elite 1.06 ERA this season, while Shane McClanahan has been solid at 3.23. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Shane McClanahan — FIP 2.77, K% 24.6%, 64.0 IP / Shohei Ohtani — FIP 2.67, K% 27.9%, 67.7 IP

Shane McClanahan carries a .235 career BAA (4-for-17) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers's top of the order — a neutral track record.

Shohei Ohtani has struggled against Tampa Bay Rays's No. 3 hitter Cedric Mullins, allowing a .500 career average (3-for-6), including 2 HR.

Power threat alert: Cedric Mullins (6타석 중 2홈런). Shohei Ohtani must be careful with these hitters' extra-base pop.

2026 season record: Tampa Bay Rays 41-29 (.586), Los Angeles Dodgers 47-27 (.635).

Run differential: Tampa Bay Rays +6, Los Angeles Dodgers +143. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.

Recent form: Tampa Bay Rays on a 2-game losing streak, Los Angeles Dodgers on a 2-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge.

Tampa Bay Rays bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Bryan Baker (Closer) 1.91 ERA, 32K in 28.1IP, Cam Booser 0.00 ERA, 10K in 7.0IP, Casey Legumina 3.19 ERA, 23K in 31.0IP.

Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 2.70 ERA, 31K in 23.1IP, Blake Treinen (Setup) 3.68 ERA, 23K in 22.0IP, Edgardo Henriquez 3.42 ERA, 28K in 26.1IP.

Projected win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 42% vs Los Angeles Dodgers 58%

Factors: Los Angeles Dodgers's starter owns the lower ERA, Los Angeles Dodgers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Shane McClanahan averages 4.9 IP per start vs. Shohei Ohtani at 6.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.