Today's starting pitching matchup features Seattle Mariners's Emerson Hancock (4-2, 2.80 ERA) against Baltimore Orioles's Trey Gibson (1-0, 3.65 ERA).

Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Emerson Hancock 0.95, Trey Gibson 1.62.

Advanced metrics: Emerson Hancock — FIP 3.72, K% 25.8%, 70.7 IP / Trey Gibson — FIP 6.10, K% 9.1%, 12.3 IP

2026 season record: Seattle Mariners 34-32 (.515), Baltimore Orioles 31-35 (.470).

Recent form: Seattle Mariners on a 1-game losing streak, Baltimore Orioles on a 2-game losing streak.

Based on starting pitching, Seattle Mariners holds the edge.

Seattle Mariners bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Hoppe 6.46 ERA, 16K in 15.1IP, Andrés Muñoz (Closer) 5.40 ERA, 35K in 23.1IP, Bryan Woo 3.74 ERA, 75K in 77.0IP.

Baltimore Orioles bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Albert Suárez 4.01 ERA, 15K in 24.2IP, Andrew Kittredge 7.11 ERA, 14K in 12.2IP, Anthony Nunez (Setup) 5.10 ERA, 34K in 30.0IP.

Projected win probability: Seattle Mariners 52% vs Baltimore Orioles 48%

Factors: Seattle Mariners's starter owns the lower ERA, Baltimore Orioles's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Emerson Hancock averages 5.9 IP per start vs. Trey Gibson at 6.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.

Emerson Hancock has allowed 10 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.