StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Minnesota Twins 2 - 0 Boston Red Sox (Bot 2nd)
Live Game
Bot 2: Minnesota Twins leads 2-0. Boston Red Sox needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Minnesota Twins
51.5%
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Fenway Park, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Minnesota Twins Away Starter
IP
1.1
K
3
ER
0
H
0
BB
1
Pitches
23
W-L
4-1
Season IP
48.0
Season K
54
ERA
2.81
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byron BuxtonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Trevor LarnachBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Austin MartinBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | Josh BellBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 5 | Kody ClemensBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Victor CaratiniBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Orlando ArciaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Brooks LeeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Ryan KreidlerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taj BradleyPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jovani MoránPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | |||||||
Brayan BelloPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
twins 2 - 0 red-sox. A standard game between both teams.
1 relievers used, 1.0 IP total, 0 runs allowed.
red-sox bullpen ERA: 0.00 (1.0 IP)
Brayan Bello (red-sox) — 1.0 IP, 0 runs, 1 K. The most reliable arm out of the bullpen.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins
-106
Favorite
Boston Red Sox
+106
Underdog
Over / Under
9
Total Runs Line
5 + 3.8 = 8.8
Expected: Minnesota Twins + Boston Red Sox
Run Line (-1.5)
Minnesota Twins -1.5
Expected margin: -1.2 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Boston Red Sox Home Starter
IP
1.0
K
1
ER
2
H
3
BB
0
Pitches
15
W-L
0-1
Season IP
26.2
Season K
30
ERA
3.38
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarren DuranBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Mickey GasperBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Wilyer AbreuBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Willson ContrerasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Ceddanne RafaelaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Nick SogardBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Marcelo MayerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Connor WongBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Isiah Kiner-FalefaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - |
Bot 2: Minnesota Twins leads 2-0. Boston Red Sox needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.324
Avg OPS
0.738
Pitching FIP
4.00
Pitching K%
19.88%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Byron Buxton 16HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Andrew Morris 2.96
Avg wOBA
0.290
Avg OPS
0.647
Pitching FIP
3.86
Pitching K%
25.35%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Aroldis Chapman 1.85, Garrett Whitlock 2.89
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Aroldis Chapman 33.8%, Garrett Whitlock 30.8%