StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Baltimore Orioles 6 - 0 Boston Red Sox (Bot 2nd)
Live Game
Bot 2: Baltimore Orioles leads 6-0. Boston Red Sox needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| BOS | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Baltimore Orioles
47.8%
Boston Red Sox
52.2%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Fenway Park, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Baltimore Orioles Away Starter
IP
1.2
K
2
ER
0
H
0
BB
0
Pitches
28
W-L
2-6
Season IP
49.2
Season K
39
ERA
6.70
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor WardBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 2 | Gunnar HendersonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Adley RutschmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | Pete AlonsoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Samuel BasalloBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Leody TaverasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 7 | Colton CowserBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Coby MayoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 1 | - | 3 | |||||||
| 9 | Jackson HollidayBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor RogersPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan BelloPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 49 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
orioles crushed red-sox 6-0. A 6-run blowout.
Taylor Ward (orioles) went 2-for-2 with 1 RBI.
Brayan Bello was pulled after just 2.0 IP with 6 ER, putting pressure on the bullpen.
orioles scored 6 runs in the top of the 1st, seizing momentum.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
+109
Underdog
Boston Red Sox
-109
Favorite
Over / Under
11
Total Runs Line
5.7 + 5.2 = 10.9
Expected: Baltimore Orioles + Boston Red Sox
Run Line (-1.5)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
Expected margin: -0.5 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Boston Red Sox Home Starter
IP
2.0
K
2
ER
6
H
5
BB
3
Pitches
49
W-L
2-5
Season IP
58.0
Season K
42
ERA
6.36
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarren DuranBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Ceddanne RafaelaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Wilyer AbreuBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Willson ContrerasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Isiah Kiner-FalefaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Andruw MonasterioBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Caleb DurbinBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Carlos NarváezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Connor WongBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - |
Bot 2: Baltimore Orioles leads 6-0. Boston Red Sox needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.313
Avg OPS
0.711
Pitching FIP
4.38
Pitching K%
19.77%
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Anthony Nunez 26%
Avg wOBA
0.296
Avg OPS
0.666
Pitching FIP
4.07
Pitching K%
22.30%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Aroldis Chapman 1.71
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Aroldis Chapman 34.7%