Today's starting pitching matchup features Toronto Blue Jays's Max Scherzer (1-4, 10.23 ERA) against Boston Red Sox's Jake Bennett (1-2, 5.28 ERA).

Boston Red Sox's Jake Bennett posts an shaky 5.28 ERA this season, while Max Scherzer has been struggling at 10.23. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Max Scherzer — FIP 8.78, K% 13.7%, 22.0 IP / Jake Bennett — FIP 3.88, K% 12.3%, 15.3 IP

Max Scherzer has allowed high batting averages to several Boston Red Sox hitters: Masataka Yoshida (4/6, .667), Isiah Kiner-Falefa (4/10, .400). These matchups bear watching.

Max Scherzer has a concerning .359 career BAA (14-for-39) vs. Boston Red Sox's top of the order — early damage is a real possibility.

2026 season record: Toronto Blue Jays 35-38 (.479), Boston Red Sox 29-41 (.414).

Toronto Blue Jays holds the edge in the season standings, though Boston Red Sox can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Recent form: Toronto Blue Jays on a 1-game win streak, Boston Red Sox on a 2-game losing streak.

Based on starting pitching, Boston Red Sox holds the edge.

Toronto Blue Jays bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Braydon Fisher (Setup) 3.38 ERA, 40K in 37.1IP, Dylan Cease 2.71 ERA, 110K in 73.0IP, Jeff Hoffman (Closer) 5.46 ERA, 53K in 31.1IP.

Boston Red Sox bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aroldis Chapman (Closer) 0.44 ERA, 28K in 20.2IP, Connelly Early 3.81 ERA, 72K in 75.2IP, Danny Coulombe (Setup) 5.65 ERA, 9K in 14.1IP.

Projected win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 0% vs Boston Red Sox 100%

Factors: Boston Red Sox's starter owns the lower ERA, Boston Red Sox's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Max Scherzer averages 3.7 IP per start vs. Jake Bennett at 5.1 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.