StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Arizona Diamondbacks 0 - 3 Chicago Cubs (Top 2nd)
Live Game
Top 2: Chicago Cubs leads 3-0. Arizona Diamondbacks needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| CHC | 3 | - | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
28.1%
Chicago Cubs
71.9%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Wrigley Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Arizona Diamondbacks Away Starter
IP
1.0
K
1
ER
3
H
3
BB
2
Pitches
28
W-L
1-1
Season IP
29.1
Season K
18
ERA
3.99
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geraldo PerdomoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Ildemaro VargasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Corbin CarrollBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Adrian Del CastilloBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Gabriel MorenoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Jose FernandezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Nolan ArenadoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Alek ThomasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Jorge BarrosaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zac GallenPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colin ReaPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
diamondbacks 0 - 3 cubs. A standard game between both teams.
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks
+256
Underdog
Chicago Cubs
-256
Favorite
Over / Under
10.5
Total Runs Line
4.7 + 5.8 = 10.5
Expected: Arizona Diamondbacks + Chicago Cubs
Run Line (-1.5)
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Expected margin: +1.1 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Chicago Cubs Home Starter
IP
1.0
K
2
ER
0
H
2
BB
0
Pitches
23
W-L
3-1
Season IP
28.1
Season K
26
ERA
4.45
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico HoernerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Moisés BallesterosBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Alex BregmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Ian HappBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Seiya SuzukiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Michael BuschBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | |||||||
| 7 | Carson KellyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 8 | Pete Crow-ArmstrongBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Dansby SwansonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 2: Chicago Cubs leads 3-0. Arizona Diamondbacks needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.340
Avg OPS
0.783
Pitching FIP
4.42
Pitching K%
17.93%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Jonathan Loáisiga 3.17
Avg wOBA
0.340
Avg OPS
0.769
Pitching FIP
3.78
Pitching K%
19.40%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Ben Brown 2.66