Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Toronto Blue Jays's Kevin Gausman (4-4, 3.41 ERA) against Chicago Cubs's Ben Brown (3-2, 1.74 ERA).
Chicago Cubs's Ben Brown posts an elite 1.74 ERA this season, while Kevin Gausman has been solid at 3.41. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Kevin Gausman — FIP 3.20, K% 24.6%, 87.0 IP / Ben Brown — FIP 2.36, K% 25.1%, 62.0 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Toronto Blue Jays 37-38 (.493), Chicago Cubs 39-36 (.520).
Recent form: Toronto Blue Jays on a 3-game win streak, Chicago Cubs on a 1-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Chicago Cubs holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Toronto Blue Jays bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Braydon Fisher (Setup) 3.26 ERA, 40K in 38.2IP, Dylan Cease 2.71 ERA, 110K in 73.0IP.
Chicago Cubs bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Ben Brown 1.74 ERA, 61K in 62.0IP, Caleb Thielbar 4.12 ERA, 23K in 19.2IP, Colin Rea 5.35 ERA, 56K in 74.0IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 43% vs Chicago Cubs 57%