Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Milwaukee Brewers's Jacob Misiorowski (14-5, 1.73 ERA) against Chicago Cubs's David Peterson (7-7, 5.11 ERA).
Milwaukee Brewers's Jacob Misiorowski posts an elite 1.73 ERA this season, while David Peterson has been shaky at 5.11. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Jacob Misiorowski — FIP 2.15, K% 38.9%, 151.0 IP / David Peterson — FIP 4.06, K% 19.6%, 123.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Milwaukee Brewers 86-53 (.619), Chicago Cubs 78-61 (.561).
Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge in the season standings, though Chicago Cubs can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Milwaukee Brewers +168, Chicago Cubs +136. Milwaukee Brewers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Milwaukee Brewers on a 1-game win streak, Chicago Cubs on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Ashby (Setup) 3.20 ERA, 105K in 76.0IP, Abner Uribe (Closer) 2.01 ERA, 50K in 49.1IP, Antonio Senzatela (Setup) 3.80 ERA, 54K in 64.0IP.
Chicago Cubs bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Civale 4.50 ERA, 80K in 98.0IP, Caleb Thielbar (Setup) 5.10 ERA, 51K in 42.1IP, Clay Holmes 2.09 ERA, 63K in 81.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 61% vs Chicago Cubs 39%
Factors: Milwaukee Brewers's starter owns the lower ERA, Chicago Cubs's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Jacob Misiorowski averages 6.0 IP per start vs. David Peterson at 6.9 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Jacob Misiorowski has allowed 13 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.