StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Detroit Tigers 1 - 2 Chicago White Sox (Top 4th)
Live Game
Top 4: Chicago White Sox leads 2-1. Detroit Tigers needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| CWS | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Detroit Tigers
37.1%
Chicago White Sox
62.9%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Rate Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Detroit Tigers Away Starter
IP
3.0
K
2
ER
2
H
2
BB
2
Pitches
50
W-L
2-3
Season IP
64.0
Season K
52
ERA
4.36
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin McGonigleBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Dillon DinglerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Matt VierlingBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Riley GreeneBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Spencer TorkelsonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Jahmai JonesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Wenceel PérezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| 8 | Hao-Yu LeeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Zack ShortBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Framber ValdezPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 3.0 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony KayPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 4.0 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
white-sox edged out a 2-1 victory. A nail-biting 1-run game.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers
+170
Underdog
Chicago White Sox
-170
Favorite
Over / Under
10
Total Runs Line
5 + 5.1 = 10.1
Expected: Detroit Tigers + Chicago White Sox
Run Line (-1.5)
Even -1.5
Expected margin: +0.1 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Chicago White Sox Home Starter
IP
4.0
K
3
ER
1
H
4
BB
0
Pitches
60
W-L
4-1
Season IP
55.2
Season K
42
ERA
3.88
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase MeidrothBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Miguel VargasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Colson MontgomeryBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Randal GrichukBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Edgar QueroBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | Andrew BenintendiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Luisangel AcuñaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Sam AntonacciBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Rikuu NishidaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Top 4: Chicago White Sox leads 2-1. Detroit Tigers needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.259
Avg OPS
0.586
Pitching FIP
3.56
Pitching K%
21.35%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Drew Anderson 3.39
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Drew Anderson 29.7%
Avg wOBA
0.305
Avg OPS
0.691
Pitching FIP
3.95
Pitching K%
20.25%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Bryan Hudson 2.55