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Atlanta Braves
54.9%
Chicago White Sox
45.1%
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves
-122
Favorite
Chicago White Sox
+122
Underdog
Over / Under
11
Total Runs Line
6.5 + 4.6 = 11.1
Expected: Atlanta Braves + Chicago White Sox
Run Line (-1.5)
Atlanta Braves -1.5
Expected margin: -1.9 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Rate Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Atlanta Braves Away Starter
W-L
5-3
Season IP
62.0
Season K
51
ERA
2.90
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
braves 0 - 0 white-sox. A standard game between both teams.
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Chicago White Sox Home Starter
W-L
6-1
Season IP
66.1
Season K
53
ERA
4.34
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Atlanta Braves and Chicago White Sox finished deadlocked at 0-0. Neither side could land the decisive blow in a tightly contested affair.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.301
Avg OPS
0.683
Pitching FIP
2.93
Pitching K%
23.65%
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Didier Fuentes 2.39, Anthony Molina 2.77, Chris Sale 2.82
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Didier Fuentes 29.2%, Chris Sale 28.8%
Avg wOBA
0.297
Avg OPS
0.675
Pitching FIP
4.54
Pitching K%
20.48%
▸Power: Colson Montgomery 17HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Bryan Hudson 3.34