St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features St. Louis Cardinals's Kyle Leahy (5-3, 3.94 ERA) against Cincinnati Reds's Chase Petty (0-0, 4.76 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Kyle Leahy 1.55, Chase Petty 1.06.
Advanced metrics: Kyle Leahy — FIP 4.83, K% 16.6%, 45.7 IP / Chase Petty — FIP 6.10, K% 4.3%, 5.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: St. Louis Cardinals 29-21 (.580), Cincinnati Reds 26-25 (.510).
St. Louis Cardinals holds the edge in the season standings, though Cincinnati Reds can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Recent form: St. Louis Cardinals on a 1-game win streak, Cincinnati Reds on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, St. Louis Cardinals holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.76 ERA, 43K in 55.0IP, Dustin May 5.00 ERA, 42K in 54.0IP, George Soriano (Setup) 3.32 ERA, 17K in 21.2IP.
Cincinnati Reds bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Abbott 3.97 ERA, 38K in 56.2IP, Brady Singer 6.26 ERA, 34K in 46.0IP, Brock Burke (Setup) 3.57 ERA, 25K in 22.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 52% vs Cincinnati Reds 48%
Factors: St. Louis Cardinals's starter owns the lower ERA, Cincinnati Reds's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Kyle Leahy averages 5.1 IP per start vs. Chase Petty at 5.7 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.