StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Chicago Cubs 0 - 0 Cincinnati Reds (Top 3rd)
Live Game
Top 3: Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Chicago Cubs
54.9%
Cincinnati Reds
45.1%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Great American Ball Park, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Chicago Cubs Away Starter
W-L
6-1
Season IP
56.1
Season K
33
ERA
4.15
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
cubs 0 - 0 reds. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
-122
Favorite
Cincinnati Reds
+122
Underdog
Over / Under
12
Total Runs Line
6.5 + 5.6 = 12.1
Expected: Chicago Cubs + Cincinnati Reds
Run Line (-1.5)
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Expected margin: -0.9 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Cincinnati Reds Home Starter
W-L
3-2
Season IP
57.2
Season K
46
ERA
4.68
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Top 3: Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.298
Avg OPS
0.668
Pitching FIP
5.26
Pitching K%
19.63%
▸Power: Ian Happ 17HR, Dansby Swanson 16HR
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Caleb Thielbar 29.5%
Avg wOBA
0.308
Avg OPS
0.702
Pitching FIP
4.50
Pitching K%
20.05%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Elly De La Cruz 15HR, JJ Bleday 15HR
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Caleb Ferguson 3.1