New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features New York Yankees's Will Warren (7-1, 3.22 ERA) against Cleveland Guardians's Gavin Williams (9-3, 3.20 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Will Warren 1.20, Gavin Williams 1.08.
Advanced metrics: Will Warren — FIP 3.27, K% 25.8%, 64.3 IP / Gavin Williams — FIP 3.54, K% 29.0%, 81.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: New York Yankees 38-26 (.594), Cleveland Guardians 37-30 (.552).
Run differential: New York Yankees +96, Cleveland Guardians +1. New York Yankees boasts superior run production.
Recent form: New York Yankees on a 1-game win streak, Cleveland Guardians on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Cleveland Guardians holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
New York Yankees bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Brent Headrick (Setup) 1.78 ERA, 34K in 30.1IP, Cam Schlittler 1.87 ERA, 89K in 82.0IP, Camilo Doval 5.79 ERA, 21K in 23.1IP.
Cleveland Guardians bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Cade Smith (Closer) 2.83 ERA, 43K in 28.2IP, Codi Heuer 3.68 ERA, 5K in 7.1IP, Colin Holderman 1.96 ERA, 27K in 23.0IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: New York Yankees 48% vs Cleveland Guardians 52%
Factors: Cleveland Guardians's starter owns the lower ERA, Cleveland Guardians's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Will Warren averages 5.4 IP per start vs. Gavin Williams at 6.3 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Gavin Williams has allowed 11 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.