Today's starting pitching matchup features Detroit Tigers's Andrew Sears (0-1, 6.75 ERA) against Cleveland Guardians's Foster Griffin (15-4, 3.21 ERA).

Cleveland Guardians's Foster Griffin posts an solid 3.21 ERA this season, while Andrew Sears has been struggling at 6.75. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Andrew Sears — FIP 4.30, K% 14.3%, 6.7 IP / Foster Griffin — FIP 4.15, K% 22.1%, 154.3 IP

2026 season record: Detroit Tigers 64-76 (.457), Cleveland Guardians 71-70 (.504).

Recent form: Detroit Tigers on a 1-game losing streak, Cleveland Guardians on a 1-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, Cleveland Guardians holds the edge.

Detroit Tigers bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Sears 6.75 ERA, 4K in 6.2IP, Beau Brieske 7.59 ERA, 9K in 10.2IP, Drew Anderson (Setup) 3.73 ERA, 101K in 91.2IP.

Cleveland Guardians bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Cade Smith (Closer) 2.36 ERA, 86K in 61.0IP, Craig Yoho 4.28 ERA, 35K in 33.2IP.

Projected win probability: Detroit Tigers 31% vs Cleveland Guardians 69%

Factors: Cleveland Guardians's starter owns the lower ERA, Cleveland Guardians's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Andrew Sears averages - IP per start vs. Foster Griffin at 5.7 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.

Foster Griffin has allowed 23 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.