Today's starting pitching matchup features Atlanta Braves's Grant Holmes (2-1, 3.62 ERA) against Colorado Rockies's Jose Quintana (1-2, 4.91 ERA).

Atlanta Braves's Grant Holmes posts an league-average 3.62 ERA this season, while Jose Quintana has been shaky at 4.91. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Grant Holmes — FIP 4.86, K% 18.5%, 32.3 IP / Jose Quintana — FIP 6.75, K% 11.0%, 18.3 IP

2026 season record: Atlanta Braves 22-10 (.688), Colorado Rockies 14-18 (.438).

Atlanta Braves holds the edge in the season standings, though Colorado Rockies can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Run differential: Atlanta Braves +66, Colorado Rockies -7. Atlanta Braves boasts superior run production.

Recent form: Atlanta Braves on a 1-game losing streak, Colorado Rockies on a 1-game losing streak.

Based on starting pitching, Atlanta Braves holds the edge.

Coors Field (5,280 ft elevation) is the most hitter-friendly park in MLB. Expect elevated scoring.

Atlanta Braves bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Bummer 4.35 ERA, 8 K in 10.1 IP, Bryce Elder 1.88 ERA, 36 K in 43.0 IP.

Colorado Rockies bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Antonio Senzatela 0.46 ERA, 19 K in 19.2 IP, Brennan Bernardino 0.71 ERA, 11 K in 12.2 IP, Chase Dollander 2.25 ERA, 39 K in 32.0 IP.

Projected win probability: Atlanta Braves 54% vs Colorado Rockies 46%

Factors: Atlanta Braves's starter owns the lower ERA, Colorado Rockies's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Grant Holmes averages 5.4 IP per start vs. Jose Quintana at 4.6 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.

Coors Field (5,280 ft elevation) is the premier hitter's park in MLB. Scoring runs 30%+ above league average, late-inning comebacks are common here.