StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Texas Rangers 3 - 4 Colorado Rockies (Top 6th)
Live Game
Top 6: Colorado Rockies leads 4-3. Texas Rangers needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
60.6%
Colorado Rockies
39.4%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Coors Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Texas Rangers Away Starter
IP
5.0
K
5
ER
4
H
7
BB
2
Pitches
83
W-L
1-4
Season IP
54.2
Season K
60
ERA
4.61
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew McCutchenBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Justin FoscueBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Alejandro OsunaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Josh JungBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 2 | 2 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Ezequiel DuranBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||||||
| 6 | Jake BurgerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| 7 | Michael HelmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Kyle HigashiokaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Evan CarterBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| PH | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack LeiterPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 5.0 | 83 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle FreelandPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 4.2 | 89 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - | |||||||
Jaden HillPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
rockies edged out a 4-3 victory. A nail-biting 1-run game.
Jake McCarthy (rockies) went 2-for-3 with 0 RBI.
1 relievers used, 1.0 IP total, 0 runs allowed.
rockies bullpen ERA: 0.00 (1.0 IP)
Jaden Hill (rockies) — 1.0 IP, 0 runs, 0 K. The most reliable arm out of the bullpen.
Jaden Hill(1.0 IP, scoreless)
Jaden Hill (rockies) entered with 3 runners on base, allowed 0 to score. Successfully navigated the jam.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Texas Rangers
-154
Favorite
Colorado Rockies
+154
Underdog
Over / Under
12
Total Runs Line
6.9 + 5.3 = 12.2
Expected: Texas Rangers + Colorado Rockies
Run Line (-1.5)
Texas Rangers -1.5
Expected margin: -1.6 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Colorado Rockies Home Starter
IP
4.2
K
4
ER
3
H
7
BB
2
Pitches
89
W-L
1-5
Season IP
38.1
Season K
35
ERA
7.04
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake McCarthyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 3 | 2 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Mickey MoniakBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Tyler FreemanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | TJ RumfieldBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 5 | Troy JohnstonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | Ezequiel TovarBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Edouard JulienBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Kyle KarrosBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 9 | Brett SullivanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Top 6: Colorado Rockies leads 4-3. Texas Rangers needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.308
Avg OPS
0.679
Pitching FIP
3.79
Pitching K%
23.93%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Chris Martin 3.42
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Cole Winn 26.7%, Jack Leiter 25.2%
Avg wOBA
0.272
Avg OPS
0.607
Pitching FIP
3.60
Pitching K%
19.48%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Antonio Senzatela 2.64, Jaden Hill 2.99, Brennan Bernardino 3.37
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Jaden Hill 25.3%