StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Cincinnati Reds 2 - 10 Colorado Rockies (Top 7th)
Live Game
Top 7: Colorado Rockies leads 10-2. Cincinnati Reds needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| COL | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Cincinnati Reds
50.4%
Colorado Rockies
49.6%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Coors Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Cincinnati Reds Away Starter
IP
2.1
K
2
ER
8
H
11
BB
0
Pitches
48
W-L
3-6
Season IP
72.0
Season K
61
ERA
5.75
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elly De La CruzBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Sal StewartBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | JJ BledayBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Spencer SteerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Eugenio SuárezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Noelvi MarteBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Dane MyersBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Jose TrevinoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||||
| 9 | Nathaniel LoweBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| PH | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rhett LowderPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.1 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | |||||||
Julian GarciaPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.2 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | |||||||
Caleb FergusonPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.0 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tomoyuki SuganoPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 6.1 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | |||||||
Juan MejiaPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 0.1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
rockies crushed reds 10-2. A 8-run blowout.
TJ Rumfield (rockies) went 4-for-4 (incl. 1 HR) with 4 RBI.
Tomoyuki Sugano pitched 6.1 IP on 77 pitches, 3 K, 2 ER — a quality start.
Rhett Lowder was pulled after just 2.1 IP with 8 ER, putting pressure on the bullpen.
rockies scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 2nd, seizing momentum.
rockies (14 H) significantly out-hit reds (6 H).
1 relievers used, 0.1 IP total, 0 runs allowed.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds
-102
Favorite
Colorado Rockies
+102
Underdog
Over / Under
14.5
Total Runs Line
7.5 + 7.1 = 14.6
Expected: Cincinnati Reds + Colorado Rockies
Run Line (-1.5)
Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Expected margin: -0.4 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Colorado Rockies Home Starter
IP
6.1
K
3
ER
2
H
6
BB
0
Pitches
77
W-L
8-4
Season IP
90.2
Season K
51
ERA
4.67
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake McCarthyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 4 | 2 | - | 2 | |||||||
| 2 | Mickey MoniakBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 4 | 2 | - | 2 | |||||||
| 3 | Cole CarriggBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | TJ RumfieldBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | |||||||
| 5 | Willi CastroBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | Troy JohnstonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Edouard JulienBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Brett SullivanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 3 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Ezequiel TovarBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 3 | 1 | - | - |
2 relievers used, 3.2 IP total, 2 runs allowed.
rockies bullpen ERA 0.00 vs reds bullpen ERA 4.91. rockies bullpen was more efficient.
Julian Garcia (reds) — 2.2 IP, 0 runs, 2 K. The most reliable arm out of the bullpen.
Caleb Ferguson (reds) — 1.0 IP, 2 runs allowed. Gave up the most runs out of the bullpen.
Juan Mejia(0.1 IP, scoreless)
Juan Mejia (rockies) entered with 1 runner on base, allowed 0 to score. Successfully navigated the jam.
Julian Garcia (reds) entered with 2 runners on base, allowed 2 to score. Let 2 inherited runners come around to score.
Top 7: Colorado Rockies leads 10-2. Cincinnati Reds needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.320
Avg OPS
0.730
Pitching FIP
4.60
Pitching K%
20.07%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Elly De La Cruz 16HR, JJ Bleday 16HR
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
Avg wOBA
0.306
Avg OPS
0.704
Pitching FIP
3.29
Pitching K%
21.50%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Hunter Goodman 27HR
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Gabriel Hughes 2.19, Antonio Senzatela 3.22, Brennan Bernardino 3.46
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Gabriel Hughes 25%