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| Team | 1 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| COL | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Baltimore Orioles
61.2%
Colorado Rockies
38.8%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Coors Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Baltimore Orioles Away Starter
W-L
9-9
Season IP
137.2
Season K
121
ERA
4.38
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson HollidayBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Pete AlonsoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Gunnar HendersonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Samuel BasalloBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Coby MayoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Dylan BeaversBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Blaze AlexanderBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Colton CowserBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor RogersPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tomoyuki SuganoPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
orioles 0 - 0 rockies. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
-158
Favorite
Colorado Rockies
+158
Underdog
Over / Under
14
Total Runs Line
8.2 + 5.9 = 14.1
Expected: Baltimore Orioles + Colorado Rockies
Run Line (-1.5)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
Expected margin: -2.3 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Colorado Rockies Home Starter
W-L
12-8
Season IP
125.2
Season K
75
ERA
5.23
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake McCarthyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Connor NorbyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Hunter GoodmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | TJ RumfieldBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Cole CarriggBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Jordan BeckBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Adael AmadorBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Ryan RitterBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Ezequiel TovarBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 1: Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.308
Avg OPS
0.698
Pitching FIP
3.82
Pitching K%
19.77%
▸Power: Coby Mayo 19HR
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Alex Hoppe 2.86
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Alex Hoppe 25.3%
Avg wOBA
0.353
Avg OPS
0.823
Pitching FIP
4.25
Pitching K%
19.52%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Hunter Goodman 36HR
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Brennan Bernardino 3.47