New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features New York Yankees's Ryan Weathers (1-2, 3.18 ERA) against Houston Astros's Mike Burrows (1-3, 6.75 ERA).
New York Yankees's Ryan Weathers posts an solid 3.18 ERA this season, while Mike Burrows has been struggling at 6.75. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Ryan Weathers — FIP 3.24, K% 31.0%, 28.3 IP / Mike Burrows — FIP 4.79, K% 20.5%, 26.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: New York Yankees 17-9 (.654), Houston Astros 10-17 (.370).
New York Yankees holds the edge in the season standings, though Houston Astros can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Recent form: New York Yankees on a 7-game win streak, Houston Astros on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Yankees holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
New York Yankees bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Brent Headrick 2.08 ERA, 14 K in 13.0 IP, Cam Schlittler 1.77 ERA, 41 K in 35.2 IP.
Houston Astros bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: AJ Blubaugh 6.19 ERA, 14 K in 16.0 IP, Bryan Abreu 12.96 ERA, 13 K in 8.1 IP, Bryan King 4.22 ERA, 12 K in 10.2 IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: New York Yankees 65% vs Houston Astros 35%
Factors: New York Yankees's starter owns the lower ERA, Houston Astros's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Ryan Weathers averages 5.7 IP per start vs. Mike Burrows at 5.3 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.