StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Seattle Mariners 0 - 3 Kansas City Royals (Top 3rd)
Live Game
Top 3: Kansas City Royals leads 3-0. Seattle Mariners needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| KC | 3 | 0 | - | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Seattle Mariners
60.2%
Kansas City Royals
39.8%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Kauffman Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Seattle Mariners Away Starter
IP
2.0
K
1
ER
2
H
4
BB
0
Pitches
32
W-L
5-3
Season IP
64.2
Season K
53
ERA
3.62
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.P. CrawfordBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Julio RodríguezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Josh NaylorBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Randy ArozarenaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Luke RaleyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Cole YoungBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Dominic CanzoneBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Jhonny PeredaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Colt EmersonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
George KirbyPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephen KolekPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
mariners 0 - 3 royals. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
-151
Favorite
Kansas City Royals
+151
Underdog
Over / Under
8
Total Runs Line
4.7 + 3.5 = 8.2
Expected: Seattle Mariners + Kansas City Royals
Run Line (-1.5)
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Expected margin: -1.2 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Kansas City Royals Home Starter
IP
2.0
K
0
ER
0
H
2
BB
0
Pitches
22
W-L
2-0
Season IP
19.0
Season K
12
ERA
3.79
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maikel GarciaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Vinnie PasquantinoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | Salvador PerezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Carter JensenBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | Jac CaglianoneBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 7 | Isaac CollinsBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Michael MasseyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Kyle IsbelBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Top 3: Kansas City Royals leads 3-0. Seattle Mariners needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.313
Avg OPS
0.698
Pitching FIP
2.80
Pitching K%
27.50%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Alex Hoppe 2.03, Andrés Muñoz 2.9, Bryce Miller 3.01, Bryan Woo 3.27
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Alex Hoppe 25.6%, Andrés Muñoz 38.1%
Avg wOBA
0.316
Avg OPS
0.709
Pitching FIP
4.65
Pitching K%
20.95%
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Daniel Lynch IV 2.53
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Daniel Lynch IV 30.6%