Los Angeles Angels tops Oakland Athletics 5-2
Game Summary
Los Angeles Angels defeated Oakland Athletics 5-2.
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Oakland Athletics
38.9%
Los Angeles Angels
61.1%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Angel Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Oakland Athletics Away Starter
W-L
2-3
Season IP
51.0
Season K
62
ERA
6.00
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
angels (10 H) significantly out-hit athletics (5 H).
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Oakland Athletics
+157
Underdog
Los Angeles Angels
-157
Favorite
Over / Under
8.5
Total Runs Line
4 + 4.4 = 8.4
Expected: Oakland Athletics + Los Angeles Angels
Run Line (-1.5)
Los Angeles Angels -1.5
Expected margin: +0.4 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Los Angeles Angels Home Starter
W-L
3-5
Season IP
99.2
Season K
112
ERA
3.88
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Los Angeles Angels defeated Oakland Athletics 5-2.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.307
Avg OPS
0.695
Pitching FIP
4.44
Pitching K%
20.10%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Gage Jump 2.14
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Gage Jump 25.7%, Elvis Alvarado 30.7%
Avg wOBA
0.323
Avg OPS
0.740
Pitching FIP
3.98
Pitching K%
24.05%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Chase Silseth 26.5%, José Soriano 25.4%