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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | 10 | 12 | 0 |
New York Yankees
56.6%
Los Angeles Angels
43.4%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Angel Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
New York Yankees Away Starter
W-L
0-3
Season IP
26.2
Season K
21
ERA
5.40
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
angels crushed yankees 10-1. A 9-run blowout.
angels (12 H) significantly out-hit yankees (6 H).
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
New York Yankees
-130
Favorite
Los Angeles Angels
+130
Underdog
Over / Under
9
Total Runs Line
4.4 + 4.4 = 8.8
Expected: New York Yankees + Los Angeles Angels
Run Line (-1.5)
Even -1.5
Expected margin: 0 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Los Angeles Angels Home Starter
W-L
8-9
Season IP
116.1
Season K
112
ERA
2.94
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Los Angeles Angels cruised to a blowout victory over New York Yankees, 10-1. The game tilted early and never looked back.
The turning point came in the bottom of the 4th. Los Angeles Angels pushed across 3 runs to seize control of the game.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.306
Avg OPS
0.698
Pitching FIP
2.81
Pitching K%
28.40%
▸Power: Ben Rice 35HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Brent Headrick 2.27, David Bednar 2.58, Cam Schlittler 2.64
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Brent Headrick 30.2%, David Bednar 27%, Cam Schlittler 30.9%, Carlos Rodón 25.5%
Avg wOBA
0.293
Avg OPS
0.662
Pitching FIP
3.44
Pitching K%
26.25%
▸Power: Mike Trout 20HR
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Ben Joyce 2.38, Blake Weiman 2.7
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Ben Joyce 36.4%, José Fermin 27.1%