Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Chicago Cubs's Colin Rea (3-0, 3.00 ERA) against Los Angeles Dodgers's Roki Sasaki (0-2, 6.11 ERA).
Chicago Cubs's Colin Rea posts an solid 3.00 ERA this season, while Roki Sasaki has been struggling at 6.11. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Colin Rea — FIP 3.27, K% 20.6%, 24.0 IP / Roki Sasaki — FIP 6.33, K% 20.0%, 17.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Chicago Cubs 17-9 (.654), Los Angeles Dodgers 17-9 (.654).
Run differential: Chicago Cubs +45, Los Angeles Dodgers +53. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Chicago Cubs on a 10-game win streak, Los Angeles Dodgers on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Chicago Cubs holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Chicago Cubs bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Ben Brown 2.37 ERA, 20 K in 19.0 IP, Colin Rea 3.00 ERA, 20 K in 24.0 IP.
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia 1.93 ERA, 11 K in 9.1 IP, Blake Treinen 4.70 ERA, 8 K in 7.2 IP, Edgardo Henriquez 4.91 ERA, 8 K in 7.1 IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Chicago Cubs 62% vs Los Angeles Dodgers 38%
Factors: Chicago Cubs's starter owns the lower ERA, Los Angeles Dodgers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Colin Rea averages 12.0 IP per start vs. Roki Sasaki at 4.4 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.