Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Colorado Rockies's Tomoyuki Sugano (4-3, 3.86 ERA) against Los Angeles Dodgers's Shohei Ohtani (4-2, 0.73 ERA).
Los Angeles Dodgers's Shohei Ohtani posts an elite 0.73 ERA this season, while Tomoyuki Sugano has been league-average at 3.86. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Tomoyuki Sugano — FIP 5.13, K% 12.6%, 53.7 IP / Shohei Ohtani — FIP 2.41, K% 28.4%, 49.0 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Colorado Rockies 20-36 (.357), Los Angeles Dodgers 35-20 (.636).
Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge in the season standings, though Colorado Rockies can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Colorado Rockies -74, Los Angeles Dodgers +117. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Colorado Rockies on a 4-game losing streak, Los Angeles Dodgers on a 4-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Colorado Rockies bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Antonio Senzatela 1.13 ERA, 26K in 32.0IP, Blas Castaño 3.38 ERA, 7K in 8.0IP, Brennan Bernardino 4.29 ERA, 16K in 21.0IP.
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 2.41 ERA, 25K in 18.2IP, Blake Treinen (Setup) 3.24 ERA, 16K in 16.2IP, Edgardo Henriquez 3.26 ERA, 18K in 19.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Colorado Rockies 39% vs Los Angeles Dodgers 61%
Factors: Los Angeles Dodgers's starter owns the lower ERA, Los Angeles Dodgers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Tomoyuki Sugano averages 5.4 IP per start vs. Shohei Ohtani at 6.1 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.