Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Philadelphia Phillies's Jesús Luzardo (4-4, 4.38 ERA) against Los Angeles Dodgers's Roki Sasaki (3-3, 4.93 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Jesús Luzardo 1.28, Roki Sasaki 1.42.
Advanced metrics: Jesús Luzardo — FIP 2.84, K% 27.7%, 61.7 IP / Roki Sasaki — FIP 5.22, K% 21.3%, 45.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Philadelphia Phillies 29-28 (.509), Los Angeles Dodgers 37-20 (.649).
Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge in the season standings, though Philadelphia Phillies can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Philadelphia Phillies -19, Los Angeles Dodgers +122. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Philadelphia Phillies on a 1-game losing streak, Los Angeles Dodgers on a 6-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Philadelphia Phillies holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Philadelphia Phillies bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Painter 5.40 ERA, 40K in 50.0IP, Brad Keller (Setup) 3.80 ERA, 27K in 23.2IP, Chase Shugart 1.53 ERA, 18K in 17.2IP.
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 2.37 ERA, 26K in 19.0IP, Blake Treinen (Setup) 3.24 ERA, 16K in 16.2IP, Edgardo Henriquez 3.60 ERA, 18K in 20.0IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 51% vs Los Angeles Dodgers 49%
Factors: Philadelphia Phillies's starter owns the lower ERA, Los Angeles Dodgers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Jesús Luzardo averages 5.6 IP per start vs. Roki Sasaki at 5.1 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.