Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Washington Nationals's Cade Cavalli (12-5, 3.12 ERA) against Los Angeles Dodgers's Tyler Glasnow (4-0, 2.79 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Cade Cavalli 1.20, Tyler Glasnow 0.81.
Advanced metrics: Cade Cavalli — FIP 3.39, K% 27.7%, 152.7 IP / Tyler Glasnow — FIP 2.77, K% 32.3%, 51.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Washington Nationals 67-75 (.472), Los Angeles Dodgers 83-57 (.593).
Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge in the season standings, though Washington Nationals can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Washington Nationals +14, Los Angeles Dodgers +147. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Washington Nationals on a 1-game losing streak, Los Angeles Dodgers on a 1-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Washington Nationals bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Alvarez 3.47 ERA, 86K in 90.2IP, Brad Lord (Setup) 3.58 ERA, 70K in 73.0IP, Cade Cavalli 3.12 ERA, 177K in 152.2IP.
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 3.06 ERA, 62K in 50.0IP, Blake Snell 2.42 ERA, 36K in 26.0IP, Blake Treinen (Setup) 3.52 ERA, 25K in 23.0IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Washington Nationals 47% vs Los Angeles Dodgers 53%
Factors: Los Angeles Dodgers's starter owns the lower ERA, Los Angeles Dodgers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Cade Cavalli averages 5.3 IP per start vs. Tyler Glasnow at 5.7 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Cade Cavalli has allowed 17 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.