New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features New York Mets's Tobias Myers (0-1, 3.41 ERA) against Miami Marlins's Eury Pérez (2-6, 5.33 ERA).
New York Mets's Tobias Myers posts an solid 3.41 ERA this season, while Eury Pérez has been shaky at 5.33. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Tobias Myers — FIP 4.38, K% 20.0%, 29.0 IP / Eury Pérez — FIP 5.20, K% 25.2%, 52.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: New York Mets 22-28 (.440), Miami Marlins 22-29 (.431).
Recent form: New York Mets on a 1-game win streak, Miami Marlins on a 3-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Mets holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Austin Warren 1.72 ERA, 16K in 15.2IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 1.40 ERA, 23K in 19.1IP, Christian Scott 4.12 ERA, 25K in 19.2IP.
Miami Marlins bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Nardi (Setup) 5.21 ERA, 22K in 19.0IP, Anthony Bender 3.79 ERA, 20K in 19.0IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: New York Mets 57% vs Miami Marlins 43%
Factors: New York Mets's starter owns the lower ERA, Miami Marlins's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Tobias Myers averages 29.0 IP per start vs. Eury Pérez at 5.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Eury Pérez has allowed 10 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.