StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
New York Mets 0 - 2 Miami Marlins (Bot 2nd)
Live Game
Bot 2: Miami Marlins leads 2-0. New York Mets needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
New York Mets
46.6%
Miami Marlins
53.4%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of loanDepot park, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
New York Mets Away Starter
IP
1.1
K
1
ER
2
H
2
BB
1
Pitches
23
W-L
3-3
Season IP
55.2
Season K
55
ERA
3.23
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carson BengeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Bo BichetteBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Juan SotoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Brett BatyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Mark VientosBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | A.J. EwingBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Marcus SemienBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | MJ MelendezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Luis TorrensBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freddy PeraltaPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.1 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max MeyerPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
mets 0 - 2 marlins. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
New York Mets
+115
Underdog
Miami Marlins
-115
Favorite
Over / Under
7.5
Total Runs Line
3.4 + 4 = 7.4
Expected: New York Mets + Miami Marlins
Run Line (-1.5)
Miami Marlins -1.5
Expected margin: +0.6 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Miami Marlins Home Starter
IP
2.0
K
3
ER
0
H
1
BB
1
Pitches
30
W-L
4-0
Season IP
55.2
Season K
63
ERA
2.75
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xavier EdwardsBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Liam HicksBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Otto LopezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Kyle StowersBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jakob MarseeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Connor NorbyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Owen CaissieBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | |||||||
| 8 | Graham PauleyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Joe MackBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - |
Bot 2: Miami Marlins leads 2-0. New York Mets needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.291
Avg OPS
0.662
Pitching FIP
3.18
Pitching K%
25.85%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Brooks Raley 2.79, David Peterson 3.04, Austin Warren 3.23
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Brooks Raley 28.8%, Austin Warren 25%, Christian Scott 27.8%
Avg wOBA
0.263
Avg OPS
0.585
Pitching FIP
4.61
Pitching K%
24.88%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Anthony Bender 2.57
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Anthony Bender 25.3%, Andrew Nardi 27.6%