Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Cleveland Guardians's Joey Cantillo (7-4, 3.66 ERA) against Miami Marlins's Tyler Phillips (2-3, 3.28 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Joey Cantillo 1.39, Tyler Phillips 1.36.
Advanced metrics: Joey Cantillo — FIP 4.26, K% 23.5%, 96.0 IP / Tyler Phillips — FIP 4.48, K% 17.3%, 74.0 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Cleveland Guardians 50-46 (.521), Miami Marlins 52-44 (.542).
Recent form: Cleveland Guardians on a 3-game win streak, Miami Marlins on a 2-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Miami Marlins holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Cleveland Guardians bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Cade Smith (Closer) 2.70 ERA, 61K in 43.1IP, Codi Heuer 5.63 ERA, 6K in 8.0IP, Colin Holderman (Setup) 1.78 ERA, 39K in 35.1IP.
Miami Marlins bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Cade Gibson 5.73 ERA, 22K in 22.0IP, Calvin Faucher (Setup) 4.54 ERA, 39K in 37.2IP, Eury Pérez 3.78 ERA, 95K in 85.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Cleveland Guardians 47% vs Miami Marlins 53%
Factors: Miami Marlins's starter owns the lower ERA, Miami Marlins's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Joey Cantillo averages 5.1 IP per start vs. Tyler Phillips at 9.3 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Joey Cantillo has allowed 12 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.