St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features St. Louis Cardinals's Michael McGreevy (3-3, 2.40 ERA) against Milwaukee Brewers's Kyle Harrison (5-1, 1.77 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Michael McGreevy 0.99, Kyle Harrison 1.07.
Advanced metrics: Michael McGreevy — FIP 4.04, K% 17.1%, 56.3 IP / Kyle Harrison — FIP 2.49, K% 32.2%, 45.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: St. Louis Cardinals 29-23 (.558), Milwaukee Brewers 31-20 (.608).
Run differential: St. Louis Cardinals -3, Milwaukee Brewers +71. Milwaukee Brewers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: St. Louis Cardinals on a 2-game losing streak, Milwaukee Brewers on a 1-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 12 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.76 ERA, 43K in 55.0IP, Dustin May 5.00 ERA, 42K in 54.0IP, George Soriano (Setup) 3.32 ERA, 17K in 21.2IP.
Milwaukee Brewers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Ashby 2.18 ERA, 47K in 33.0IP, Abner Uribe (Closer) 4.42 ERA, 19K in 18.1IP, Brandon Sproat 5.84 ERA, 48K in 44.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 47% vs Milwaukee Brewers 53%
Factors: Milwaukee Brewers's starter owns the lower ERA, Milwaukee Brewers's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Michael McGreevy averages 5.6 IP per start vs. Kyle Harrison at 5.1 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.