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| Team | 1 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MIL | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
25%
Milwaukee Brewers
75%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of American Family Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
San Francisco Giants Away Starter
W-L
2-5
Season IP
56.1
Season K
35
ERA
5.59
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey SchmittBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| 2 | Rafael DeversBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Luis ArraezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Willy AdamesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jung Hoo LeeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Bryce EldridgeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Matt ChapmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Eric HaaseBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Drew GilbertBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian HouserPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coleman CrowPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
giants 0 - 0 brewers. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants
+300
Underdog
Milwaukee Brewers
-300
Favorite
Over / Under
10
Total Runs Line
3.8 + 6.3 = 10.1
Expected: San Francisco Giants + Milwaukee Brewers
Run Line (-1.5)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Expected margin: +2.5 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Milwaukee Brewers Home Starter
IP
0.0
K
0
ER
1
H
1
BB
0
Pitches
1
W-L
0-0
Season IP
14.1
Season K
8
ERA
3.14
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian YelichBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Jackson ChourioBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Brice TurangBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | William ContrerasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jake BauersBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Garrett MitchellBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Sal FrelickBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Luis RengifoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | David HamiltonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 1: San Francisco Giants and Milwaukee Brewers are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.349
Avg OPS
0.810
Pitching FIP
4.55
Pitching K%
23.87%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Erik Miller 3.38
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Erik Miller 32.1%, Caleb Kilian 25.9%
Avg wOBA
0.312
Avg OPS
0.700
Pitching FIP
3.62
Pitching K%
25.00%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Aaron Ashby 2.19, Chad Patrick 3.3, Abner Uribe 3.41
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Aaron Ashby 32.9%