New York Yankees vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features New York Yankees's Elmer Rodríguez (0-1, 5.19 ERA) against New York Mets's Freddy Peralta (3-3, 3.10 ERA).
New York Mets's Freddy Peralta posts an solid 3.10 ERA this season, while Elmer Rodríguez has been shaky at 5.19. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Elmer Rodríguez — FIP 5.41, K% 11.4%, 8.7 IP / Freddy Peralta — FIP 3.67, K% 23.8%, 49.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: New York Yankees 28-18 (.609), New York Mets 19-26 (.422).
New York Yankees holds the edge in the season standings, though New York Mets can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: New York Yankees +69, New York Mets -17. New York Yankees boasts superior run production.
Recent form: New York Yankees on a 1-game losing streak, New York Mets on a 1-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Mets holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
New York Yankees bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Brent Headrick (Setup) 2.31 ERA, 26K in 23.1IP, Cam Schlittler 1.35 ERA, 68K in 60.0IP, Camilo Doval 5.51 ERA, 17K in 16.1IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Austin Warren 0.71 ERA, 15K in 12.2IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 1.02 ERA, 21K in 17.2IP, Christian Scott 3.45 ERA, 20K in 15.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: New York Yankees 40% vs New York Mets 60%
Factors: New York Mets's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Elmer Rodríguez averages 4.3 IP per start vs. Freddy Peralta at 5.5 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.