Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Miami Marlins's Tyler Phillips (0-0, 1.07 ERA) against New York Mets's Christian Scott (0-0, 3.20 ERA).
Miami Marlins's Tyler Phillips posts an elite 1.07 ERA this season, while Christian Scott has been solid at 3.20. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Tyler Phillips — FIP 3.34, K% 21.5%, 33.7 IP / Christian Scott — FIP 3.49, K% 26.3%, 25.3 IP
Career H2H Analysis
On the flip side, Mark Vientos has been overmatched by Tyler Phillips, going just 0-for-5 (.000) in their career matchup.
Tyler Phillips owns a .133 career batting average against (2-for-15) vs. New York Mets's top of the order — a strong sign for a quality outing.
Christian Scott carries a .238 career BAA (5-for-21) vs. Miami Marlins's top of the order — a neutral track record.
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Miami Marlins 26-32 (.448), New York Mets 24-33 (.421).
Recent form: Miami Marlins on a 3-game losing streak, New York Mets on a 2-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Miami Marlins holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Miami Marlins bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Anthony Bender 3.22 ERA, 24K in 22.1IP, Cade Gibson 8.59 ERA, 9K in 7.1IP, Calvin Faucher 3.80 ERA, 22K in 21.1IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Austin Warren 1.47 ERA, 20K in 18.1IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 1.25 ERA, 25K in 21.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Miami Marlins 55% vs New York Mets 45%
Factors: Miami Marlins's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Tyler Phillips averages 33.7 IP per start vs. Christian Scott at 4.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.