Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Los Angeles Dodgers's Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10-6, 2.78 ERA) against New York Mets's Nolan McLean (7-6, 3.34 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.88, Nolan McLean 1.09.
Advanced metrics: Yoshinobu Yamamoto — FIP 3.33, K% 24.8%, 119.7 IP / Nolan McLean — FIP 3.29, K% 28.8%, 113.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Los Angeles Dodgers 66-38 (.635), New York Mets 43-61 (.413).
Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge in the season standings, though New York Mets can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Los Angeles Dodgers +159, New York Mets -66. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Los Angeles Dodgers on a 3-game win streak, New York Mets on a 2-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 2.62 ERA, 49K in 34.1IP, Brock Stewart 2.19 ERA, 12K in 12.1IP, Charlie Barnes 7.50 ERA, 4K in 12.0IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: A.J. Minter 2.45 ERA, 18K in 22.0IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 2.15 ERA, 38K in 37.2IP, Christian Scott 3.13 ERA, 78K in 63.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 51% vs New York Mets 49%
Factors: Los Angeles Dodgers's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Yoshinobu Yamamoto averages 6.6 IP per start vs. Nolan McLean at 5.7 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed 13 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.