Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Los Angeles Dodgers's Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 5.13 ERA) against New York Mets's Freddy Peralta (5-9, 5.01 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Emmet Sheehan 1.27, Freddy Peralta 1.46.
Advanced metrics: Emmet Sheehan — FIP 4.49, K% 26.4%, 87.7 IP / Freddy Peralta — FIP 4.50, K% 22.4%, 109.7 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Los Angeles Dodgers 67-38 (.638), New York Mets 43-62 (.410).
Los Angeles Dodgers holds the edge in the season standings, though New York Mets can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Los Angeles Dodgers +160, New York Mets -67. Los Angeles Dodgers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Los Angeles Dodgers on a 4-game win streak, New York Mets on a 3-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Mets holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Alex Vesia (Setup) 2.55 ERA, 50K in 35.1IP, Brock Stewart 2.19 ERA, 12K in 12.1IP, Charlie Barnes 7.50 ERA, 4K in 12.0IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: A.J. Minter 2.45 ERA, 18K in 22.0IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 2.15 ERA, 38K in 37.2IP, Christian Scott 3.13 ERA, 78K in 63.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 47% vs New York Mets 53%
Factors: New York Mets's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Emmet Sheehan averages 4.9 IP per start vs. Freddy Peralta at 5.2 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.
Emmet Sheehan has allowed 17 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.