San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features San Francisco Giants's Anthony Molina (2-0, 3.77 ERA) against New York Mets's Zac Thornton (3-4, 2.93 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Anthony Molina 1.05, Zac Thornton 1.16.
Advanced metrics: Anthony Molina — FIP 4.08, K% 16.1%, 14.3 IP / Zac Thornton — FIP 3.90, K% 18.4%, 61.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: San Francisco Giants 58-84 (.408), New York Mets 64-77 (.454).
Run differential: San Francisco Giants -77, New York Mets -46. Both clubs are evenly matched in run production.
Recent form: San Francisco Giants on a 2-game losing streak, New York Mets on a 2-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Mets holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
San Francisco Giants bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Anthony Molina 3.77 ERA, 9K in 14.1IP, Blade Tidwell 4.43 ERA, 36K in 42.2IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 14 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Austin Warren 4.24 ERA, 46K in 40.1IP, Christian Scott 3.80 ERA, 113K in 94.2IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: San Francisco Giants 45% vs New York Mets 55%
Factors: New York Mets's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Anthony Molina averages 14.3 IP per start vs. Zac Thornton at 5.6 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.