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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cleveland Guardians
35.3%
New York Yankees
64.7%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Yankee Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Cleveland Guardians Away Starter
IP
2.0
K
3
ER
0
H
1
BB
0
Pitches
30
W-L
3-5
Season IP
63.2
Season K
53
ERA
5.09
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David FryBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | José RamírezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Rhys HoskinsBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Travis BazzanaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Angel MartínezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Stuart FairchildBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Steven KwanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Austin HedgesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Brayan RocchioBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slade CecconiPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos RodónPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 3.0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
guardians 0 - 0 yankees. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians
+183
Underdog
New York Yankees
-183
Favorite
Over / Under
9.5
Total Runs Line
3.9 + 5.5 = 9.4
Expected: Cleveland Guardians + New York Yankees
Run Line (-1.5)
New York Yankees -1.5
Expected margin: +1.6 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
New York Yankees Home Starter
IP
3.0
K
4
ER
0
H
0
BB
1
Pitches
44
W-L
1-2
Season IP
21.0
Season K
23
ERA
3.00
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trent GrishamBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Ben RiceBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Paul GoldschmidtBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Cody BellingerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jazz Chisholm Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | José CaballeroBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Ryan McMahonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | J.C. EscarraBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Max SchuemannBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 3: Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.321
Avg OPS
0.725
Pitching FIP
2.50
Pitching K%
27.80%
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Cade Smith 1.08, Colin Holderman 2.1, Codi Heuer 3.26
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Cade Smith 37.4%, Colin Holderman 31%, Gavin Williams 29%
Avg wOBA
0.348
Avg OPS
0.803
Pitching FIP
3.23
Pitching K%
25.40%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸Power: Ben Rice 17HR, Aaron Judge 17HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Cam Schlittler 2.13, Brent Headrick 2.86
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Cam Schlittler 28.5%, Brent Headrick 26.8%, Carlos Rodón 26.1%