Loading...
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.2%
New York Yankees
52.8%
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
+112
Underdog
New York Yankees
-112
Favorite
Over / Under
9.5
Total Runs Line
4.8 + 4.9 = 9.7
Expected: Los Angeles Dodgers + New York Yankees
Run Line (-1.5)
Even -1.5
Expected margin: +0.1 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Yankee Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Los Angeles Dodgers Away Starter
W-L
4-6
Season IP
82.1
Season K
93
ERA
4.81
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
dodgers 0 - 0 yankees. A standard game between both teams.
Loading comments...
New York Yankees Home Starter
W-L
3-7
Season IP
97.2
Season K
110
ERA
4.15
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees finished deadlocked at 0-0. Neither side could land the decisive blow in a tightly contested affair.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.334
Avg OPS
0.756
Pitching FIP
3.72
Pitching K%
27.25%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸Power: Freddie Freeman 15HR, Andy Pages 17HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Alex Vesia 2.37, Edgardo Henriquez 2.92
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Alex Vesia 32.6%, Emmet Sheehan 26.6%, Brock Stewart 25.6%
Avg wOBA
0.310
Avg OPS
0.707
Pitching FIP
3.49
Pitching K%
26.05%
▸Power: Ben Rice 29HR
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Brent Headrick 2.45, Cam Schlittler 2.81
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Brent Headrick 27.7%, Cam Schlittler 29.2%, Angel Chivilli 25%