Today's starting pitching matchup features St. Louis Cardinals's Michael McGreevy (4-9, 3.57 ERA) against New York Yankees's Cam Schlittler (10-6, 2.04 ERA).

New York Yankees's Cam Schlittler posts an elite 2.04 ERA this season, while Michael McGreevy has been league-average at 3.57. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Michael McGreevy — FIP 4.22, K% 16.2%, 116.0 IP / Cam Schlittler — FIP 2.53, K% 30.7%, 136.7 IP

2026 season record: St. Louis Cardinals 55-57 (.491), New York Yankees 63-49 (.563).

New York Yankees holds the edge in the season standings, though St. Louis Cardinals can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Run differential: St. Louis Cardinals -16, New York Yankees +87. New York Yankees boasts superior run production.

Recent form: St. Louis Cardinals on a 1-game win streak, New York Yankees on a 1-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, New York Yankees holds the edge.

Yankee Stadium's short right-field porch gives left-handed hitters a built-in advantage.

St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.72 ERA, 86K in 118.2IP, Dustin May 4.38 ERA, 106K in 109.0IP, George Soriano (Setup) 3.38 ERA, 46K in 48.0IP.

New York Yankees bullpen: 12 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Angel Chivilli 0.57 ERA, 16K in 15.2IP, Brent Headrick (Setup) 1.42 ERA, 68K in 57.0IP, Cam Schlittler 2.04 ERA, 165K in 136.2IP.

Projected win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 43% vs New York Yankees 57%

Factors: New York Yankees's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Yankees's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Michael McGreevy averages 5.5 IP per start vs. Cam Schlittler at 5.9 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.

Michael McGreevy has allowed 15 HR this season — a concern against a lineup with extra-base power.