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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
63.5%
San Francisco Giants
36.5%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Oracle Park, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Chicago White Sox Away Starter
IP
1.1
K
1
ER
0
H
0
BB
0
Pitches
16
W-L
2-1
Season IP
24.1
Season K
24
ERA
1.48
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam AntonacciBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Munetaka MurakamiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Miguel VargasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Colson MontgomeryBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Chase MeidrothBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Andrew BenintendiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Jarred KelenicBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Tristan PetersBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Drew RomoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan HudsonPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 1.1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | |||||||
Erick FeddePitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 0.2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian HouserPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.1 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
white-sox 0 - 0 giants. A standard game between both teams.
1 relievers used, 0.2 IP total, 0 runs allowed.
white-sox bullpen ERA: 0.00 (0.7 IP)
Erick Fedde (white-sox) — 0.2 IP, 0 runs, 2 K. The most reliable arm out of the bullpen.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
-174
Favorite
San Francisco Giants
+174
Underdog
Over / Under
8.5
Total Runs Line
5.3 + 3 = 8.3
Expected: Chicago White Sox + San Francisco Giants
Run Line (-1.5)
Chicago White Sox -1.5
Expected margin: -2.3 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
San Francisco Giants Home Starter
IP
2.1
K
3
ER
0
H
1
BB
0
Pitches
35
W-L
2-4
Season IP
50.0
Season K
28
ERA
5.04
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willy AdamesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Luis ArraezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Casey SchmittBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Rafael DeversBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Matt ChapmanBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Daniel SusacBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Bryce EldridgeBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Harrison BaderBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Drew GilbertBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 3: Chicago White Sox and San Francisco Giants are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.304
Avg OPS
0.687
Pitching FIP
3.58
Pitching K%
20.85%
▸High K% (28%+): 3 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Davis Martin 2.32, Bryan Hudson 2.73
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Davis Martin 27.4%
Avg wOBA
0.303
Avg OPS
0.704
Pitching FIP
4.17
Pitching K%
22.00%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Erik Miller 2.8
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Erik Miller 33.3%, Caleb Kilian 25%