Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Milwaukee Brewers's Chad Patrick (2-1, 2.57 ERA) against St. Louis Cardinals's Kyle Leahy (3-3, 5.52 ERA).
Milwaukee Brewers's Chad Patrick posts an solid 2.57 ERA this season, while Kyle Leahy has been struggling at 5.52. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Chad Patrick — FIP 4.28, K% 14.0%, 28.0 IP / Kyle Leahy — FIP 5.59, K% 16.4%, 29.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Milwaukee Brewers 18-15 (.545), St. Louis Cardinals 20-14 (.588).
Recent form: Milwaukee Brewers on a 1-game losing streak, St. Louis Cardinals on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Ashby 2.57 ERA, 34 K in 21.0 IP, Abner Uribe 3.65 ERA, 14 K in 12.1 IP, Brandon Sproat 6.75 ERA, 25 K in 26.2 IP.
St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.73 ERA, 26 K in 31.1 IP, Dustin May 5.15 ERA, 25 K in 36.2 IP, George Soriano 3.68 ERA, 12 K in 14.2 IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 60% vs St. Louis Cardinals 40%
Factors: Milwaukee Brewers's starter owns the lower ERA, St. Louis Cardinals's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Chad Patrick averages 7.0 IP per start vs. Kyle Leahy at 4.9 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.