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Milwaukee Brewers
54.6%
St. Louis Cardinals
45.4%
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
-120
Favorite
St. Louis Cardinals
+120
Underdog
Over / Under
11
Total Runs Line
5.6 + 5.3 = 10.9
Expected: Milwaukee Brewers + St. Louis Cardinals
Run Line (-1.5)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Expected margin: -0.3 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Busch Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Milwaukee Brewers Away Starter
W-L
1-2
Season IP
36.0
Season K
36
ERA
5.75
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
brewers 0 - 0 cardinals. A standard game between both teams.
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St. Louis Cardinals Home Starter
W-L
4-3
Season IP
42.1
Season K
33
ERA
4.46
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals finished deadlocked at 0-0. Neither side could land the decisive blow in a tightly contested affair.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.314
Avg OPS
0.703
Pitching FIP
3.60
Pitching K%
24.40%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Aaron Ashby 2.18, Abner Uribe 2.84
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Aaron Ashby 37.3%, Abner Uribe 25.8%
Avg wOBA
0.354
Avg OPS
0.812
Pitching FIP
4.37
Pitching K%
16.90%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense