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Milwaukee Brewers
51.7%
St. Louis Cardinals
48.3%
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
-107
Favorite
St. Louis Cardinals
+107
Underdog
Over / Under
9.5
Total Runs Line
5 + 4.7 = 9.7
Expected: Milwaukee Brewers + St. Louis Cardinals
Run Line (-1.5)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Expected margin: -0.3 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Busch Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Milwaukee Brewers Away Starter
W-L
3-4
Season IP
79.0
Season K
84
ERA
5.13
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
brewers 0 - 0 cardinals. A standard game between both teams.
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St. Louis Cardinals Home Starter
W-L
10-5
Season IP
95.0
Season K
70
ERA
3.60
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals finished deadlocked at 0-0. Neither side could land the decisive blow in a tightly contested affair.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.308
Avg OPS
0.689
Pitching FIP
3.80
Pitching K%
25.13%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Aaron Ashby 3.14, Abner Uribe 3.3
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Aaron Ashby 30.6%, Brandon Sproat 25%
Avg wOBA
0.315
Avg OPS
0.716
Pitching FIP
4.04
Pitching K%
18.20%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Dustin May 3.19