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| Team | 1 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| STL | - | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas City Royals
38.2%
St. Louis Cardinals
61.8%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Busch Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Kansas City Royals Away Starter
W-L
2-2
Season IP
35.2
Season K
32
ERA
5.55
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maikel GarciaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Vinnie PasquantinoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Salvador PerezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Carter JensenBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Jac CaglianoneBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Isaac CollinsBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Michael MasseyBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Kyle IsbelBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah CameronPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle LeahyPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
royals 0 - 0 cardinals. A standard game between both teams.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals
+162
Underdog
St. Louis Cardinals
-162
Favorite
Over / Under
9.5
Total Runs Line
4.8 + 4.9 = 9.7
Expected: Kansas City Royals + St. Louis Cardinals
Run Line (-1.5)
Even -1.5
Expected margin: +0.1 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
St. Louis Cardinals Home Starter
W-L
4-3
Season IP
39.2
Season K
32
ERA
4.31
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masyn WinnBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Iván HerreraBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Jordan WalkerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Alec BurlesonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | José FermínBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Thomas SaggeseBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Nathan ChurchBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Pedro PagésBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Victor Scott IIBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 1: Kansas City Royals and St. Louis Cardinals are locked in a tight battle, knotted at 0-0.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.328
Avg OPS
0.748
Pitching FIP
4.94
Pitching K%
21.82%
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Daniel Lynch IV 2.39
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Daniel Lynch IV 34.2%
Avg wOBA
0.355
Avg OPS
0.813
Pitching FIP
4.48
Pitching K%
16.47%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense