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Arizona Diamondbacks
43.2%
St. Louis Cardinals
56.8%
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks
+131
Underdog
St. Louis Cardinals
-131
Favorite
Over / Under
10
Total Runs Line
4.6 + 5.5 = 10.1
Expected: Arizona Diamondbacks + St. Louis Cardinals
Run Line (-1.5)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Expected margin: +0.9 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Busch Stadium, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Arizona Diamondbacks Away Starter
W-L
3-7
Season IP
86.1
Season K
52
ERA
6.15
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
diamondbacks 0 - 0 cardinals. A standard game between both teams.
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St. Louis Cardinals Home Starter
W-L
3-6
Season IP
89.1
Season K
57
ERA
3.12
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals finished deadlocked at 0-0. Neither side could land the decisive blow in a tightly contested affair.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.311
Avg OPS
0.709
Pitching FIP
3.50
Pitching K%
19.88%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Brandyn Garcia 2.32, Jonathan Loáisiga 3.07
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Brandyn Garcia 28.4%
Avg wOBA
0.319
Avg OPS
0.727
Pitching FIP
4.17
Pitching K%
17.93%
▸wOBA .350+: 2 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Dustin May 3.32