Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features Milwaukee Brewers's Shane Drohan (3-2, 3.12 ERA) against St. Louis Cardinals's Dustin May (5-6, 4.80 ERA).
Milwaukee Brewers's Shane Drohan posts an solid 3.12 ERA this season, while Dustin May has been shaky at 4.80. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Shane Drohan — FIP 3.17, K% 24.5%, 57.7 IP / Dustin May — FIP 3.36, K% 22.2%, 84.3 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: Milwaukee Brewers 55-33 (.625), St. Louis Cardinals 47-40 (.540).
Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge in the season standings, though St. Louis Cardinals can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Run differential: Milwaukee Brewers +127, St. Louis Cardinals +13. Milwaukee Brewers boasts superior run production.
Recent form: Milwaukee Brewers on a 1-game win streak, St. Louis Cardinals on a 1-game losing streak.
Based on starting pitching, Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Ashby (Setup) 3.25 ERA, 70K in 52.2IP, Abner Uribe (Closer) 2.78 ERA, 34K in 35.2IP, Brandon Sproat 5.13 ERA, 84K in 79.0IP.
St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.60 ERA, 70K in 95.0IP, Dustin May 4.80 ERA, 78K in 84.1IP, George Soriano (Setup) 3.29 ERA, 32K in 38.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 55% vs St. Louis Cardinals 45%
Factors: Milwaukee Brewers's starter owns the lower ERA, St. Louis Cardinals's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Shane Drohan averages 8.2 IP per start vs. Dustin May at 5.3 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.