StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Houston Astros 2 - 0 Texas Rangers (Top 3rd)
Live Game
Top 3: Houston Astros leads 2-0. Texas Rangers needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Houston Astros
38.7%
Texas Rangers
61.3%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Globe Life Field, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Houston Astros Away Starter
IP
2.0
K
3
ER
0
H
0
BB
0
Pitches
33
W-L
7-5
Season IP
80.0
Season K
74
ERA
3.26
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy PeñaBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Yordan AlvarezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |||||||
| 3 | Isaac ParedesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 1 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Christian WalkerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jose AltuveBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | LaMonte Wade Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Yainer DiazBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Taylor TrammellBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Christian VázquezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 1 | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter LambertPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kumar RockerPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 2.1 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
Yordan Alvarez (astros) went 2-for-2 (incl. 1 HR) with 2 RBI.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Houston Astros
+158
Underdog
Texas Rangers
-158
Favorite
Over / Under
9
Total Runs Line
4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Expected: Houston Astros + Texas Rangers
Run Line (-1.5)
Even -1.5
Expected margin: 0 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Texas Rangers Home Starter
IP
2.1
K
2
ER
2
H
4
BB
0
Pitches
29
W-L
2-7
Season IP
84.1
Season K
74
ERA
3.95
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joc PedersonBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Wyatt LangfordBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Josh JungBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Brandon NimmoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Jake BurgerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Ezequiel DuranBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Evan CarterBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Nicky LopezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | - | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Elias DíazBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | - | 0 | - | - |
Top 3: Houston Astros leads 2-0. Texas Rangers needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.307
Avg OPS
0.697
Pitching FIP
4.58
Pitching K%
21.10%
▸Power: Christian Walker 20HR
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Bryan Abreu 27.7%
Avg wOBA
0.305
Avg OPS
0.687
Pitching FIP
4.28
Pitching K%
17.05%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Ben Peoples 1.77