Today's starting pitching matchup features Philadelphia Phillies's Cristopher Sánchez (7-2, 1.46 ERA) against Toronto Blue Jays's Patrick Corbin (2-2, 3.98 ERA).

Philadelphia Phillies's Cristopher Sánchez posts an elite 1.46 ERA this season, while Patrick Corbin has been league-average at 3.98. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Cristopher Sánchez — FIP 1.79, K% 29.5%, 86.3 IP / Patrick Corbin — FIP 4.28, K% 15.8%, 54.3 IP

2026 season record: Philadelphia Phillies 35-30 (.538), Toronto Blue Jays 32-34 (.485).

Philadelphia Phillies holds the edge in the season standings, though Toronto Blue Jays can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Recent form: Philadelphia Phillies on a 1-game win streak, Toronto Blue Jays on a 2-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, Philadelphia Phillies holds the edge.

Philadelphia Phillies bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Nola 5.86 ERA, 68K in 66.0IP, Andrew Painter 6.21 ERA, 47K in 58.0IP, Brad Keller (Setup) 3.58 ERA, 29K in 27.2IP.

Toronto Blue Jays bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Adam Macko 1.64 ERA, 11K in 11.0IP, Braydon Fisher (Setup) 2.55 ERA, 37K in 35.1IP, Connor Seabold 4.26 ERA, 15K in 19.0IP.

Projected win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 57% vs Toronto Blue Jays 43%

Factors: Philadelphia Phillies's starter owns the lower ERA, Toronto Blue Jays's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Cristopher Sánchez averages 6.6 IP per start vs. Patrick Corbin at 4.9 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.