StatScope Analysis|Live GameLIVE
Chicago White Sox 0 - 1 Toronto Blue Jays (Bot 5th)
Live Game
Bot 5: Toronto Blue Jays leads 1-0. Chicago White Sox needs to mount a rally.
Game in progress — data updates in real time.StatScope AI Engine
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
60%
Toronto Blue Jays
40%
Below this summary you'll find, in order: a head-to-head team stats comparison (runs, wOBA, OPS, ERA, WHIP), a deep dive on the two probable starters with FIP, BABIP, K% and BB%, a bullpen breakdown, a lineup view with each hitter's season sabermetric line, and finally our win-probability, moneyline, over/under, and run-line (-1.5) projections. The numbers are pulled live from the official MLB Stats API each time this page loads.
Our projections come from the StatScope v2.2 win-probability model. It blends Pythagorean expectation with starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wOBA, a 30% weight on the last 30 days of form, Log5 matchup logic, a 6.6% home-field bonus, the park factor of Rogers Centre, and a 22% regression toward league average. The weights were grid-searched on 246 historical games (Brier score 0.2336), and the full methodology is documented on our methodology page. Remember: these are model estimates, not picks. Use them as one input alongside news, weather, and the sportsbook line — and always bet responsibly.
Chicago White Sox Away Starter
IP
4.2
K
3
ER
1
H
4
BB
1
Pitches
68
W-L
9-4
Season IP
105.0
Season K
95
ERA
3.34
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam AntonacciBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Munetaka MurakamiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Miguel VargasBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | Colson MontgomeryBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 1 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 5 | Andrew BenintendiBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Kyle TeelBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Braden MontgomeryBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Tristan PetersBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Chase MeidrothBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 2 | 0 | - | - |
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Davis MartinPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 4.2 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
| Pitcher | IP | Pitches | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | Result | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shane BieberPitcher - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Batters
| 5.0 | 68 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | - |
Bench Pitchers (Did Not Pitch)
blue-jays edged out a 1-0 victory. A nail-biting 1-run game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (blue-jays) went 2-for-2 with 0 RBI.
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StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
-150
Favorite
Toronto Blue Jays
+150
Underdog
Over / Under
11
Total Runs Line
7.2 + 3.8 = 11
Expected: Chicago White Sox + Toronto Blue Jays
Run Line (-1.5)
Chicago White Sox -1.5
Expected margin: -3.4 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Toronto Blue Jays Home Starter
IP
5.0
K
5
ER
0
H
3
BB
1
Pitches
68
W-L
0-1
Season IP
22.2
Season K
18
ERA
5.96
Season Record
| # | Player | Pos | AB | H | HR | RBI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ernie ClementBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 2B | 3 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 2 | Nathan LukesBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| RF | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 3 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Batter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 1B | 2 | 2 | - | - | |||||||
| 4 | George SpringerBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| DH | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||
| 5 | Kazuma OkamotoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| 3B | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 6 | Daulton VarshoBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| CF | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 7 | Alejandro KirkBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| C | 2 | 0 | - | - | |||||||
| 8 | Andrés GiménezBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| SS | 2 | 1 | - | - | |||||||
| 9 | Jonatan ClaseBatter - Career H2H Stats Career Stats vs Opposing Pitchers
| LF | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Bot 5: Toronto Blue Jays leads 1-0. Chicago White Sox needs to mount a rally.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.293
Avg OPS
0.667
Pitching FIP
3.85
Pitching K%
20.90%
▸Power: Colson Montgomery 23HR
▸High K% (28%+): 2 players
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Bryan Hudson 2.98, Davis Martin 3.06
Avg wOBA
0.302
Avg OPS
0.687
Pitching FIP
5.34
Pitching K%
29.65%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Dylan Cease 2.18, Jeff Hoffman 2.64
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Dylan Cease 36.9%, Jeff Hoffman 34.8%, Braydon Fisher 25%