Today's starting pitching matchup features Milwaukee Brewers's Jacob Misiorowski (1-2, 3.31 ERA) against Washington Nationals's Jake Irvin (1-3, 4.85 ERA).

Milwaukee Brewers's Jacob Misiorowski posts an solid 3.31 ERA this season, while Jake Irvin has been shaky at 4.85. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Jacob Misiorowski — FIP 3.22, K% 37.2%, 32.7 IP / Jake Irvin — FIP 4.08, K% 26.4%, 29.7 IP

2026 season record: Milwaukee Brewers 16-14 (.533), Washington Nationals 15-17 (.469).

Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge in the season standings, though Washington Nationals can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Recent form: Milwaukee Brewers on a 1-game win streak, Washington Nationals on a 2-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, Milwaukee Brewers holds the edge.

Milwaukee Brewers bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Aaron Ashby 2.45 ERA, 30 K in 18.1 IP, Abner Uribe 3.97 ERA, 13 K in 11.1 IP, Brandon Sproat 6.75 ERA, 25 K in 26.2 IP.

Washington Nationals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Granillo 8.53 ERA, 2 K in 6.1 IP, Brad Lord 3.74 ERA, 14 K in 21.2 IP, Cade Cavalli 3.82 ERA, 38 K in 30.2 IP.

Projected win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 55% vs Washington Nationals 45%

Factors: Milwaukee Brewers's starter owns the lower ERA, Washington Nationals's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Jacob Misiorowski averages 5.4 IP per start vs. Jake Irvin at 4.9 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.